The age of deleveraging : investment strategies for a decade of slow growth and deflation

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Title:

The age of deleveraging : investment strategies for a decade of slow growth and deflation

Author:

Shilling, A. Gary.

ISBN:

9780470596364

Publication Information:

Hoboken, N.J. : Wiley, c2011.

Physical Description:

xvi, 512 p. : ill. ; 24 cm.

General Note:

Includes index.

Contents:

Machine generated contents note: Foreword. -- Acknowledgments. -- Introduction. -- Chapter 1: Spotting Bubbles. -- Chapter 2: Making Great Calls. -- Chapter 3: The Housing Bubble (Great Call #6). -- Chapter 4: The Financial Bubble (Great Call #7). -- Chapter 5: The Results of Denial. -- Chapter 6: Slow Growth Ahead. -- Chapter 7: No Help from Anywhere. -- Chapter 8: Chronic Worldwide Deflation. -- Chapter 9: Monetary and Fiscal Excesses. -- Chapter 10: The Outlook for Stocks. -- Chapter 11: 12 Investments to Sell or Avoid. -- Chapter 12: 10 Investments to Buy. -- About the Author. -- Index.

Subject Term:

Investments -- United States.

Investment analysis -- United States.

Deflation (Finance) -- United States.

Economic forecasting -- United States.

Geographic Term:

United States -- Economic conditions -- 2009-

Summary:

"Top economist Gary Shilling shows you how to prosper in the slow-growing and deflationary times that lie ahead. While many investors fear a rapid rise in inflation, author Gary Shilling, an award-winning economic forecaster, argues that the global economy is going through a long period of de-leveraging and weak growth, which makes deflation far more likely and a far greater threat to investors than inflation. Shilling explains in clear language and compelling logic why the U.S. and world economy will struggle for several more years and what investors can do to protect and grow their wealth in the difficult times ahead. The investment strategies that worked for last 25 years will not work in the next 10 years. Shilling advises readers to avoid broad exposure to stocks, real estate, and commodities and to focus on high-quality bonds, high-dividend stocks, and consumer staple and food stocks.

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Summary

Top economist Gary Shilling shows you how to prosper in theslow-growing and deflationary times that lie ahead

While many investors fear a rapid rise in inflation, author GaryShilling, an award-winning economic forecaster, argues that theglobal economy is going through a long period of de-leveraging andweak growth, which makes deflation far more likely and a fargreater threat to investors than inflation. Shilling explains inclear language and compelling logic why the world economy willstruggle for several more years and what investors can do toprotect and grow their wealth in the difficult times ahead. Theinvestment strategies that worked for last 25 years will not workin the next 10 years. Shilling advises readers to avoid broadexposure to stocks, real estate, and commodities and to focus onhigh-quality bonds, high-dividend stocks, and consumer staple andfood stocks.

Written by one of today's best forecasters of economictrends-twice voted by Institutional Investor as Wall Street's topeconomist Clearly explains what to invest in, what to avoid, and how tocope with a deflationary, slow-growth economy Demonstrates how Shilling has been consistently right aboutmajor economic trends since he began forecasting in the early1980s

Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, this timelyguide lays out a convincing case for why investors need to beprepared for a long period of weak growth and deflation-notinflation-and what you can do to prosper in the difficult timesahead.

Author Notes

Economic consultant and investment advisor A. Gary Shilling was born in Fremont, Ohio on May 25, 1937. He graduated magna cum laude from Amherst College in 1960 with an A.B. in physics, and went on to receive an M.A. (1962) and a Ph.D. (1965) in economics from Stanford University.

For the first 15 years of his career, Shilling worked as an economist for companies such as Standard Oil, Merrill Lynch, and WW & Co. In 1979, he began his own business, A. Gary Shilling & Co., Inc., in Springfield, N.J., and became president of Lakeview Economic Services. Since 1993, he has also been the owner of Lakeview Services, Inc.

Shilling was named Top Commodity Trading Advisor by Futures Magazine in 1993 and Wall Street Top Economist (1975 and 1976) by Institutional Investor Magazine. He is a columnist for Forbes, S&P Credit Week, and Nihon Keizai Shimbun Journal, and the creator of The Deflation Game, an economics board game.

Shilling has written several books about economics and investment strategies, including Is Inflation Ending? Are You Ready?; The World Has Definitely Changed: New Economic Forces and their Implications for the Next Decade; and After the Crash: Recession or Depression?

A. Gary Shilling and his wife, Margaret, whom he married in 1962, have four children, Geoffrey, Andrew, Stephen and Jennifer.

(Bowker Author Biography)

Foreword	p. viii
Acknowledgments	p. xii
Introduction	p. xiv
Chapter 1 Spotting Bubbles	p. 1
Chapter 2 Making Great Calls	p. 29
Chapter 3 The Housing Bubble (Great Call 6)	p. 53
Chapter 4 The Financial Bubble (Great Call 7)	p. 95
Chapter 5 The Results of Denial	p. 123
Chapter 6 Slow Growth Ahead	p. 159
Chapter 7 No Help from Anywhere	p. 225
Chapter 8 Chronic Worldwide Deflation	p. 273
Chapter 9 Monetary and Fiscal Excesses	p. 311
Chapter 10 The Outlook for Stocks	p. 339
Chapter 11 Twelve Investments to Sell or Avoid	p. 363
Chapter 12 Ten Investments to Buy	p. 425
About the Author	p. 493
Index	p. 499

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